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Unlock Concentration

Unlock concentration measures how much of a period's total unlock value sits in a single event or a small handful of them.
TradFi parallel: Like the difference between an index whose entire return comes from one mega-cap and one where it is spread across the book. The headline number is identical; what you are actually exposed to is not.

Key Takeaways

  • 01
    Start with the definition: Unlock concentration measures how much of a period's total unlock value sits in a single event or a small handful of them.
  • 02
    Read the governing documentation before treating a label as a supply conclusion
  • 03
    Separate scheduled entitlement, contractual transferability, and actual circulating supply
  • 04
    Use dated on-chain or canonical data for any amount, percentage, or event date
  • 05
    A buyback, unlock, burn, or reward label does not by itself establish the net supply effect
  • 06
    Remove or qualify any project-specific conclusion that cannot be reproduced from a primary source

How It Works

Unlock concentration measures how much of a period's total unlock value sits in a single event or a small handful of them.
The label alone does not establish a token's current supply impact. To evaluate unlock concentration, read the governing token documentation and contract rules, distinguish scheduled entitlement from tokens that are actually transferable or circulating, and use dated on-chain data for any quantity. Do not infer a burn, price effect, holder behavior, or release amount from the label alone.
When a claim depends on a figure, date, allocation, fee route, or prior market event, retain it only when the underlying primary document, governance record, contract state, or reproducible data snapshot is available. Otherwise state the mechanism generally and leave the project-specific conclusion out.

Real World Examples

Scenario 1: verify before concluding
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Use the project's published rules, the relevant contract or governance record, and a dated supply snapshot. Keep only conclusions that those records directly support.
Scenario 2: verify before concluding
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Use the project's published rules, the relevant contract or governance record, and a dated supply snapshot. Keep only conclusions that those records directly support.
Scenario 3: verify before concluding
View →
Use the project's published rules, the relevant contract or governance record, and a dated supply snapshot. Keep only conclusions that those records directly support.
Scenario 4: verify before concluding
View →
Use the project's published rules, the relevant contract or governance record, and a dated supply snapshot. Keep only conclusions that those records directly support.
Scenario 5: verify before concluding
View →
Use the project's published rules, the relevant contract or governance record, and a dated supply snapshot. Keep only conclusions that those records directly support.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is unlock concentration usually expressed?
Check the governing documentation, contract state, and dated on-chain or canonical data. The answer depends on the project's specific rules and current supply state, so do not infer it from the label alone.
Should I read concentration in dollars or as a percentage of float?
Check the governing documentation, contract state, and dated on-chain or canonical data. The answer depends on the project's specific rules and current supply state, so do not infer it from the label alone.
Does a concentrated month mean more downside?
Check the governing documentation, contract state, and dated on-chain or canonical data. The answer depends on the project's specific rules and current supply state, so do not infer it from the label alone.
Can a period be concentrated without any single large event?
Check the governing documentation, contract state, and dated on-chain or canonical data. The answer depends on the project's specific rules and current supply state, so do not infer it from the label alone.

Related Terms

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Supply-side analysis for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Verify assumption and precision labels on the relevant token page.
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Tokenomist.ai provides a complete solution for supply-side tokenomics data. Analyze future token emissions, track vesting schedules, and compare standardized tokenomics and allocation across projects to gain actionable insights