TBD Locked Supply
TBD locked supply consists of tokens locked without a determined release date, often held in a treasury or reserve pending a future event such as a governance vote or operational milestone. These tokens represent the most unpredictable source of future dilution.
TradFi parallel — Like authorized-but-unissued shares — the company can issue them anytime via board resolution, creating unpredictable dilution.
Key Takeaways
- 01TBD locked tokens have no determined release date, making them the least predictable component of future supply
- 02Two categories: Event-Gated (contingent on governance votes or milestones) and Operational (ongoing grants and incentives with incremental distribution)
- 03TBD locked supply can convert to standard locked supply when a governance vote or protocol decision establishes a release schedule
- 04Foundation treasuries and DAO reserves are the most common sources of TBD locked supply
- 05Excluding TBD locked supply from dilution analysis underestimates total potential supply expansion
- 06Tokenomist tracks reclassification events when TBD locked tokens receive defined schedules
How It Works
TBD locked supply is distinct from standard locked supply because it lacks a defined unlock schedule. While locked supply has precise cliff dates and linear vesting parameters, TBD locked tokens sit in holding patterns — foundation wallets, DAO treasuries, ecosystem reserves — waiting for a trigger event that may or may not have a timeline. This makes TBD locked supply the hardest category to model and the most dangerous to overlook in supply analysis.
Tokenomist classifies TBD locked supply into two categories. Event-Gated tokens are contingent on specific governance votes or protocol milestones — they remain locked until a proposal passes or a condition is met. Operational tokens fund ongoing grants, incentive programs, or ecosystem development with incremental distribution over time, but without a fixed schedule. The distinction matters: Event-Gated TBD supply can convert to standard locked supply overnight (with a newly defined schedule), while Operational TBD supply tends to trickle into circulation unpredictably.
A notable real-world example is Arbitrum's DAO Treasury. At launch, the treasury was classified as TBD Locked because no vesting schedule existed. When AIP-1.1 passed, it established a 4-year vesting schedule for those tokens, converting them from TBD locked to standard locked supply with a predictable unlock curve. This reclassification is exactly the kind of event that changes a token's supply outlook dramatically, and Tokenomist's Updates Feed tracks these governance decisions as they happen.
Real World Examples
Arbitrum DAO Treasury Reclassification
View →
Arbitrum's DAO Treasury was initially TBD Locked with no defined release schedule. When AIP-1.1 passed governance, it established a 4-year vesting schedule, converting the entire treasury allocation from TBD locked to standard locked supply. Tokenomist tracked this transition in real time.
Uniswap Governance Treasury
View →
Uniswap's governance treasury holds a substantial UNI allocation with distribution subject to community governance proposals. Each successful grant proposal incrementally draws from this TBD locked pool, making the treasury a slow but persistent source of new supply.
Optimism RetroPGF Reserves
View →
Optimism allocated tokens to Retroactive Public Goods Funding rounds, distributed incrementally based on governance decisions. These tokens remained TBD locked until each funding round was approved and executed, with Tokenomist documenting each distribution event.
Aptos Foundation Ecosystem Fund
View →
Aptos set aside a large ecosystem fund managed by the foundation without a predetermined vesting schedule. The fund's distribution depended on grant applications and strategic partnerships, making it a classic example of Operational TBD locked supply.
Sui Foundation Reserve
View →
Sui's foundation reserve held tokens earmarked for future ecosystem growth with no fixed release timeline. As the foundation approved programs and partnerships, tokens moved from TBD locked to released, tracked on Tokenomist's token detail page.
Frequently Asked Questions
How is TBD locked supply different from regular locked supply?
Regular locked supply has a determined release schedule — specific cliff dates and linear vesting parameters. TBD locked supply has no defined timeline; tokens remain restricted until a future event (governance vote, milestone, operational decision) triggers their release. Tokenomist displays both categories separately on each token's detail page so you can assess predictable versus unpredictable dilution.
Can TBD locked supply become regular locked supply?
Yes. When a governance vote or protocol decision establishes a release schedule for previously TBD locked tokens, they are reclassified as standard locked supply with defined unlock mechanics. Tokenomist's Updates Feed tracks these reclassification events, and the token's supply breakdown updates to reflect the new schedule.
Why should investors care about TBD locked supply?
TBD locked supply represents potential dilution with no predictable timeline. A project might have low scheduled unlocks but a massive TBD locked treasury that could start distributing at any time. Tokenomist surfaces TBD locked supply as a distinct metric so you do not underestimate the total supply that could eventually reach the market.
How does Tokenomist handle TBD locked supply in emission projections?
Tokenomist's emission projections for future periods include only tokens with determined schedules (cliff and linear unlocks). TBD locked supply is excluded from forward projections because its release timing is unknown. However, historical emission data captures any TBD locked tokens that were actually released, giving you an accurate record of past supply expansion.
Where can I see which tokens have the largest TBD locked supply?
Tokenomist's Token Unlocks Dashboard displays supply breakdowns including TBD locked supply for all tracked projects. You can navigate to any token's detail page to see the exact TBD locked amount and its categorization (Event-Gated or Operational), and the Updates Feed surfaces governance decisions that affect TBD locked supply status.
Related Terms
Track on Tokenomist
Supply-side analysis for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Verify assumption and precision labels on the relevant token page.